An Intensive 5-day Training Course

Advanced Project Economics, Risk & Decision Analysis

Handling Uncertain Scenarios

INTRODUCTION TO THE COURSE

Forecasting costs, evaluating profitability, and managing risk are among the most critical and challenging aspects of early-stage capital planning. A lack of precision in these areas can result in substantial financial losses and hinder project viability. Mastery in these domains is essential for effective strategic decision-making.

The Advanced Project Economics, Risk & Decision Analysis training course is designed to provide a comprehensive understanding of economic evaluation under uncertainty. Participants will explore a range of analytical tools and techniques to strengthen their project planning and financial modeling capabilities.

This KC Academy training course focuses on:

  • Identifying key phases of the risk analysis cycle, including preparation, model development, and execution
  • Constructing risk models with variable probabilities and assessing the implications of uncertain parameters
  • Generating detailed reports—such as tornado charts, scatter plots, and cumulative probability curves—using Excel tools
  • Applying decision trees and Monte Carlo simulations to produce key financial indicators
  • Creating probabilistic cash flow projections and profitability measures for strategic decisions

COURSE DETAILS

Objectives Icon

OBJECTIVES

By the end of this Advanced Project Economics, Risk & Decision Analysis training course, participants will be able to:

  • Effectively manage uncertainty in project environments
  • Understand and apply key economic and financial concepts
  • Use expected value theory and assess its role in decision-making models
  • Explore risk behavior, including risk aversion, and understand the concept of risk premium
  • Gain proficiency in spreadsheet-based modeling and simulations using @RISK software
  • Conduct cash flow analysis and compare competing project alternatives using standard economic metrics
  • Perform comprehensive risk and sensitivity assessments using practical spreadsheet applications
Methodology Icon

TRAINING METHODOLOGY

This Advanced Project Economics, Risk & Decision Analysis training course will incorporate a mix of learning methods, including but not limited to, high quality power point slides, short videos and active class participation.

An in-depth knowledge of quantitative risk analysis techniques and hands-on problem solving skills will be developed during this training course . Participants will use PC’s to solve a variety of problems better enabling them to utilize the taught material.

This training course approach will be facilitated using Microsoft Excel add on @Risk module and will further assist in promoting discussions among the participants.

Organizational Impact Icon

ORGANISATIONAL IMPACT

Organizations that invest in this Advanced Project Economics, Risk & Decision Analysis training course will benefit through enhanced decision-making and risk evaluation capabilities within project teams. Key benefits include:

  • Strengthened ability to conduct financial appraisals and risk assessments for capital projects
  • Enhanced analytical skills to identify and address risk elements during project planning
  • Improved evaluation methods to justify projects based on financial return and risk profiles
  • Empowered staff capable of contributing to interdisciplinary project evaluation teams
  • Practical exposure to Monte Carlo simulation and its application to real-world projects
  • Greater value contribution to ongoing initiatives through practical case study application
  • Ability to detect and focus on critical drivers of project success or failure
Personal Impact Icon

PERSONAL IMPACT

Participants will gain practical tools and techniques for managing economic and risk factors in complex projects. Upon completion, they will:

  • Understand the complete decision analysis process and construct effective project cash flow models
  • Apply decision tree analysis to evaluate strategic alternatives
  • Use @RISK software to perform advanced simulation and modeling
  • Improve their ability to identify key uncertainties impacting project outcomes
  • Gain a solid foundation in financial and risk-based decision-making for project evaluation
Target Audience Icon

WHO SHOULD ATTEND?

This training course is designed to provide technical and practical approaches to executing a project in the upstream sector.

This KC Academy Advanced Project Economics, Risk & Decision Analysis training course is suitable to a wide range of professionals but will greatly benefit:

  • Planning Managers
  • Project Managers
  • Analysts
  • Commercial Managers
  • Economists
  • Government Officials
  • Geologists
  • Business Advisors
  • Asset Managers
  • E&P Managers
  • Product Managers
  • Project Management Professionals

DAILY AGENDA

Day 1: Development Economics
  • A brief history of energy usage
  • Principles of development economics
  • Understanding of economic terms
  • Inflation and its impact on nominal & real cashflows
  • Project financing
Day 2: Uncertainty in Investments
  • Handling uncertainty in capital projects
  • Understanding probability concepts
  • The expected value concept: features and pitfalls
    • Expected Monetary Value (EMV)
    • Expected Profitability Index (EPI)
    • Expected Opportunity Loss (EOL)
Day 3: Risks and Uncertainties
  • Risk & uncertainty
  • Risk aversion and risk premium
  • Exploration project threats and opportunities
  • Economic decision criteria
  • Decision tree analysis
  • Probability distribution
  • Monte Carlo simulation
Day 4: Setting-up Spreadsheet Calculations Using Excel
  • Spreadsheet Calculations
    • Cashflow analysis
    • Sensitivity analysis calculations
    • Tornado diagrams
  • Introduction to Monte Carlo simulations using @Risk
Day 5: Practical Use of the @Risk add-on
  • Developing an integrated economic model
  • Developing and using an @Risk Model Analysis
  • Project sensitivity analysis utilizing data from @Risk Model
  • Training course final review and close
Objectives Icon

Certificate

On successful completion of this training course, KC ACademy Certificate will be awarded to the delegates.

THIS TRAINING COURSE IS ALSO PART OF THE 10-DAY TITLES:

CLASSROOM

The 10-Day Advanced Project Economics & Risk Management

RELATED CATEGORIES

OTHER TRAINING COURSES

YOU MIGHT BE INTERESTED AS WELL…

ONLINE

Integrated Inventory and Warehouse Management

10-14 Aug 2025
Online
CLASSROOM

Excellence in Warehouse and Inventory

21 Jul-01 Aug 2025
Istanbul, Turkey
CLASSROOM

Inventory & Stock Control Management

26-30 May 2025
Dubai, UAE
CLASSROOM

PMP Exam Preparation Training : The Project Management Professional

21-25 Jul 2025
London, United Kingdom
CLASSROOM

Sustainable Maintenance

17-21 Nov 2025
Amsterdam, The Netherlands
CLASSROOM

Certificate Course in Maintenance Planning

02-06 Jun 2025
London, United Kingdom
CLASSROOM

Certificate Course in Creating Maintenance Excellence

26 May-06 Jun 2025
London, United Kingdom
CLASSROOM

Certificate Course in Advanced Maintenance Management

26-30 May 2025
London, United Kingdom
CLASSROOM

Risk Based Strategies for Inspection & Maintenance (RBI & RBM)

26-30 May 2025
London, United Kingdom
CLASSROOM

Joint Venture and Other Collaboration Agreement for the Oil & Gas Industry

07-11 Jul 2025
Dubai, UAE

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

This FAQ section provides quick answers to the most common questions about our services, procedures, and policies. We aim to make your experience with us as straightforward as possible. For further assistance, our support team is ready to help.

Are there prerequisites or language requirements? +
How many students are in a course? Who will be my classmates? +
Do I need specific equipment to take Online Courses? +
How can I register? +

READY TO GET STARTED?

Connect with our team to learn more about our customised learning and development solutions.

SUBSCRIBE TO OUR NEWSLETTER

Stay up to date with our latest insights on leadership, strategy and other topics that are relevant to your business. No spam, great content.